Saturday, January 24, 2015

Fight Night

UFC on Fox 14 - Gustafsson vs. Johnson  (2015-01-24)
#6LHW86Alexander Gustafsson±130#3LHW89Anthony Johnson
#13MW80Gegard Mousasi±130#8MW83Dan Henderson
#4LHW88Phil Davis±170#7LHW83Ryan Bader
#148FW56Akira Corassani±110#181FW55Sam Sicilia
#55WW67Nicholas Musoke±180#118WW62Albert Tumenov
#54WW68Kenny Robertson±140#66MW64Sultan Aliev
#293LW54Makwan Amirkhani±110#233FW53Andy Ogle
#166LHW51Nikita Krylov±220NRLHW59Stanislav Nedkov
#292LW54Anthony Christodoulou±340#73LW66Mairbek Taisumov
#75FW61Mirsad Bektic±210#289LW54Paul Redmond
#28HW67Konstantin Erokhin±350#90HW55Viktor Pesta
#56BW60Chris Beal±190#61FLW54Neil Seery

The biggest differences with Vegas: Henderson (CCR doesn't know about age), Johnson (CCR doesn't know about home-field advantage), Nedkov instead a toss-up, Musoke.

Experimenting with a different format for the odds:

UFC on Fox 14 - Gustafsson vs. Johnson  (2015-01-24)
#6LHW86Alexander Gustafsson#3LHW89Anthony Johnson
#13MW80Gegard Mousasi#8MW83Dan Henderson
#4LHW88Phil Davis#7LHW83Ryan Bader
#148FW56Akira Corassani#181FW55Sam Sicilia
#55WW67Nicholas Musoke#118WW62Albert Tumenov
#54WW68Kenny Robertson#66MW64Sultan Aliev
#293LW54Makwan Amirkhani#233FW53Andy Ogle
#166LHW51Nikita KrylovNRLHW59Stanislav Nedkov
#292LW54Anthony Christodoulou#73LW66Mairbek Taisumov
#75FW61Mirsad Bektic#289LW54Paul Redmond
#28HW67Konstantin Erokhin#90HW55Viktor Pesta
#56BW60Chris Beal#61FLW54Neil Seery

Here's the recap. Full ratings will be updated on Monday as usual. Nedkov hadn't fought in about two years so his rating ended up moving the most. Pesta over Erokhin was the biggest upset, CCR would still favor Erokhin slightly in a rematch.

UFC on Fox 14 - Gustafsson vs. Johnson  (2015-01-24)
#2LHW↑192↑2Anthony JohnsonTKO#7LHW↓183↓3Alexander Gustafsson
#7MW↑683↑4Gegard MousasiTKO#13MW↓579↓4Dan Henderson
#6LHW↑185↑2Ryan BaderSplit#5LHW↓187↓2Phil Davis
#118FW↑6358↑3Sam SiciliaKO#243FW↓9553↓4Akira Corassani
#73WW↑4566↑4Albert TumenovUnan.#91WW↓3664↓4Nicholas Musoke
#37WW↑1770↑3Kenny RobertsonKO#86MW↓2061↓3Sultan Aliev
#198LW↑9557↑3Makwan AmirkhaniTKO#334FW↓10150↓3Andy Ogle
#109LHW↑5755↑3Nikita KrylovSub.#165LHW51↓8Stanislav Nedkov
#58LW↑1567↑1Mairbek TaisumovKO#337LW↓4553↓1Anthony Christodoulou
#53FW↑2264↑3Mirsad BekticUnan.#244FW53↓2Paul Redmond
#44HW↑4661↑7Viktor PestaUnan.#41HW↓1363↓4Konstantin Erokhin
#32FLW↑2958↑4Neil SeeryUnan.#97BW↓4156↓4Chris Beal

Overall a pretty great card. When I first introduced these ratings, I said that 102 Jones vs 93 Cormier was the highest combined rating fight. Now it might be overtaken by 104 Jones vs 92 Rumble. Actually I'll be introducing fight/event/promotion ratings soon, stay tuned for that.

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